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Future Scenarios for the Eurozone: 15 Perspectives on the Euro Crisis

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The Eurozone is standing at a crossroads, facing the biggest challenges in its history: the systemic crisis and the political attempts to overcome it have far-reaching consequences for the future of the Economic and Monetary Union, European integration and Europe in the world. By identifying the main driving forces that influence the future development of the Economic and Monetary Union, a number of different scenarios were developed to show what the Eurozone will look like in the year 2020. Four major scenarios are imaginable: (A) Muddling through the Crisis. The Eurozone remains a house without a protecting roof. (B) Break-up of the Eurozone. The Euro house falls apart. (C) Core Europe: evolution of two-level integration with a smaller and stable, but exclusionary Euro house. (D) Completion of the Monetary Union by a fiscal and political union. The roof is repaired and construction completed.
European Economy
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Publication date: 
Friday, March 1, 2013