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African Development

African futures 2050- the next forty years, ISS monograph

Author: 
Institute for Security Studies
Keywords: 
African Futures
2050
African Growth
African Development
Social Model
Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
1st Editorial Board Meeting
Publication date: 
Wednesday, January 26, 2011
Abstract in English: 
In this monograph the Institute for Security Studies and the Pardee Center for International Futures provide an extensive analysis of the projected course of African development to 2050. Combining the deep and wide knowledge of Africa within the ISS with extensive use of the IFs modelling system, this discussion goes beyond past work in a number of ways. It looks across most major issue arenas: demographics, economics, sociopolitical change, the environment and human development itself, including health and education. It explores further into our future than perhaps any other extensive study of African futures has ever done. While not pushing forward specific policy initiatives, it provides a context within which those who pursue sustainable human development can consider policies.
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Download
Country of publication: 
South Africa
Cover page image: 
Number of pages: 
66
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Topics: 
Demography
Development
Foreign affairs
Governance
Growth
Politics
Regions
Research
Security

Africa's current and future stability

Author: 
Institute for Security Studies
Keywords: 
Africa
Conflict
2063
African Renaissance
African Futures
African Development
Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
1st Editorial Board Meeting
Publication date: 
Wednesday, November 19, 2014
Abstract in English: 
This paper first presents a summary of recent conflict trends in Africa, largely drawing on data from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project. Then, to provide a picture of the potential future impact of changes in Africa’s development and security prospects up to 2063 (a timeline that ties in with the African Union’s Agenda 2063 initiative), the paper models the implications of three alternative futures for Africa. These are a 'Base Case’ scenario (the current trajectory), an "African Renaissance" scenario (a best-case scenario) and a ‘Politics of the Belly’ scenario (in which the trends analysed take a negative course).
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Country of publication: 
South Africa
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Number of pages: 
24
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Topics: 
Development
Economy
Foreign affairs
Governance
Growth
Innovation
Politics
Poverty
Regions
Research
Security

Power and influence in Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria and South Africa

Author: 
Institute for Security Studies
Keywords: 
Nigeria
Egypt
Algeria
Ethiopia
African Big Five
African Development
Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
1st Editorial Board Meeting
Publication date: 
Tuesday, March 24, 2015
Abstract in English: 
This paper explores the changing power capabilities of Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria, and South Africa (the ‘Big Five’) over the next 25 years. Of these countries, Ethiopia and Nigeria are forecast to increase their power capabilities, whereas Algeria, Egypt and South Africa are expected to stagnate or decline. Of the Big Five, two currently punch above their weight – one that is rising, Ethiopia, and another whose growth is stagnant, South Africa. If Nigeria were able to take the necessary steps that would see far-reaching changes to the governance issues and social challenges that currently beset the country, it could become Africa’s lone superpower.
File: 
Download
Country of publication: 
South Africa
Cover page image: 
Number of pages: 
28
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Topics: 
Demography
Development
Economy
Foreign affairs
Governance
Growth
Innovation
Politics
Regions
Research
Security

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