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China in 2030

China and developing Asia: the big picture

Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Wednesday, January 1, 2014
Abstract in English: 
The Chinese empire prospered during the middle ages, albeit largely isolated from the rest of the World. This isolation had a side effect though, as China completely missed the opportunity of the Industrial Revolution. At its peak, near the beginning of the 19th century, China accounted for almost one third of the global economy. However, after the defeat from the British, during the two Opium Wars, the Chinese Empire and its economy collapsed to a mere 5% contribution to global GDP, by the mid 20th century. It remained near this level until Deng Xiaoping assumed power in 1977 and began growing ever since. Now this contribution exceeds 17%, a level similar to the one it had in 1870, indicating an economic cycle closing after more than a century.
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China and the World by 2030

Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Wednesday, May 9, 2012
Abstract in English: 
Hu Angang presented global trends and the rise of China by 2030 during the 2012 "Oxford China and World Economy Forum".


Common prosperous country:

–Economically powerful country with billions population
–Innovative country with billions population
–Common-rich country with billion population
–Beautiful country built up by all Chinese

Common prosperous world:

–Big development
–Big convergence
–Big reversion
–Big transformation

China will be:

–The most powerful engine for global economic development
–The new donor of international development assistance
–The leading country of global big transformation

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