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Economy

Spain 2050

Title Original Language: 
España 2050. Fundamentos y propuestas para una Estrategia Nacional de Largo Plazo
Abstract Original Language: 
España 2050 es el primer ejercicio de prospectiva estratégica elaborado por el Gobierno de España. El estudio explora los desafíos y las oportunidades sociales, económicas y medioambientales que afrontará España en las próximas tres décadas; fija 50 objetivos cualitativos de cara a 2050; y propone más de 200 medidas para alcanzarlos.
El informe ha sido elaborado por un equipo multidisciplinar de más de 100 expertos y por la Oficina Nacional de Prospectiva y Estrategia del Gobierno de España, con el apoyo de ministerios, el Banco de España y el Joint Research Centre de la Comisión Europea.
Original Language: 
Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Thursday, May 20, 2021
Abstract in English: 
Spain 2050 is the first comprehensive strategic foresight report ever produced by the Spanish Government. It explores the main social, economic and environmental challenges that Spain will face over the next three decades; sets 50 quantitative goals for 2050; and advances more than 200 policy measures to achieve them.
The report was crafted by a multidisciplinary team of over a hundred experts and the Spanish National Office of Foresight and Strategy, with the support of several ministries, the Bank of Spain, and the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission.
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678
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International comparisons of the measurement of non-market output during the COVID-19 pandemic

Title Original Language: 
International comparisons of the measurement of non-market output during the COVID-19 pandemic
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Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Monday, February 21, 2022
Abstract in English: 
The measurement of non-market output, characterised by providing goods and services without economically significant prices, has always proved challenging for compilers of the National Accounts. Various approaches are available to meet these challenges, often resulting in slight differences in methodology between countries. Government policies, introduced in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic exacerbated some of these existing differences, potentially influencing the GDP estimates across countries. This joint paper by the United Kingdom Office for National Statistics (ONS) and the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) explains the methodological options available to statistical compilers and explores differences in methodologies used by countries to measure non-market output, analysing their implications for international comparisons of GDP growth during the COVID-19 pandemic.
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42
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Smart Partnerships amid Great Power Competition: AI, China, and the Global Quest for Digital Sovereignty

Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Tuesday, January 12, 2021
Abstract in English: 
The report captures key takeaways from various roundtable conversations, identifies the challenges and opportunities that different regions of the world face when dealing with emerging technologies, and evaluates China’s role as a global citizen. In times of economic decoupling and rising geopolitical bipolarity, it highlights opportunities for smart partnerships, describes how data and AI applications can be harnessed for good, and develops scenarios on where an AI-powered world might be headed.
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20
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Global Economic Prospects, January 2021

Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Friday, January 1, 2021
Abstract in English: 
Although the global economy is emerging from the collapse triggered by COVID-19, the recovery is likely to be subdued, and global GDP is projected to remain well below its pre-pandemic trend for a prolonged period. Several risks cloud the outlook, including those related to the pandemic and to rapidly rising debt. The pandemic has further diminished already-weak growth prospects for the next decade. Decisive policy actions will be critical in raising the likelihood of better growth outcomes while warding off worse ones. Immediate priorities include supporting vulnerable groups and ensuring a prompt and widespread vaccination process to bring the pandemic under control. Although macroeconomic policy support will continue to be important, limited fiscal policy space amid high debt highlights the need for an ambitious reform agenda that bolsters growth prospects. To address many of these challenges, global cooperation will be key.
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234
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Assigning responsibilities across levels of government - Trends, challenges and guidelines for policy-makers

Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Thursday, September 27, 2018
Abstract in English: 
The past decades have seen an undeniable trend towards decentralisation and greater diversity of multilevel governance arrangements around the world. Decentralisation outcomes depend on the way decentralisation is designed and implemented. A key issue for the effectiveness of decentralisation is linked to the way responsibilities are assigned across levels of government. The literature on fiscal federalism has provided some general guidelines that provide a point of departure for thinking about the assignment of responsibilities. However, when looking at country practices, the difference between theory and country experience appears to be significant. This paper reviews the trends, challenges and good practices in the way responsibilities are distributed across levels of government. It concludes with a set of guidelines for policy-makers, to better assign responsibilities across levels of government for more effective decentralisation.
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67
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Enjeux et perspectives des industries du sport en France et à l’international

Title Original Language: 
Enjeux et perspectives des industries du sport en France et à l’international
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Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Thursday, June 9, 2016
Abstract in English: 
Dans le cadre de sa mission de développement de la compétitivité et de la croissance des entreprises françaises de l’industrie et des services, la Direction générale des entreprises s’est associée à la Direction des sports pour réaliser une étude à finalité prospective, portant sur la fabrication et la distribution d’articles et d’équipements sportifs en France. Cette réflexion s’articule autour de quatre principaux objectifs: 1. Caractériser les industries du sport sous un angle quantitatif (données économiques, évolutiondes pratiques, etc.) et qualitatif (élaboration de typologies, positionnement des acteurs, etc.) et développer une double approche "Demande" et "Offre" à finalité prospective: a) comprendre les pratiques, besoins et attentes de la clientèle et identifier des gisements de marché potentiels; b) identifier les facteurs clés de succès des entreprises et analyser leurs perspectives et trajectoires d’évolution. 2. Établir une synthèse des enjeux et des opportunités des marchés du sport et mettre en regard les forces et faiblesses des industriels français. 3. Identifier des orientations stratégiques et opérationnelles permettant de dynamiser le secteur et soutenir le développement des fabricants et distributeurs français, aussi bien sur le territoire national qu’à l’étranger. 4. Élaborer des recommandations opérationnelles et pragmatiques à destination des professionnels et des pouvoirs publics visant à faciliter leur mise en oeuvre et à accompagner les acteurs dans leurs démarches d’adaptation et d’innovation.
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The World Economy in 2050: a Tentative Picture

Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Wednesday, December 1, 2010
Abstract in English: 
CEPII presents growth scenarios for 128 countries to 2050, based on a three-factor production function that includes capital, labour and energy. CEPII improves on the literature by accounting for the energy constraint through dynamic modelling of energy productivity, and departing from the assumptions of either a closed economy or full capital mobility by applying a Feldstein-Horioka-type relationship between savings and investment rates.
Results suggest that, accounting for relative price variations, China could account for 28% of the world economy in 2050, which would be much more than the United States (14%), India (12%), the European Union (11%) and Japan (3%). They suggest also that China would overtake the United States around 2025 (2035 at constant relative prices). However, in terms of standards of living, measured through GDP per capita in purchasing power parity, only China would be close to achieving convergence to the US level, and only at the end of the simulation period.
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The New Global Puzzle. What World for the EU in 2025?

Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Tuesday, October 31, 2006
Abstract in English: 
The EUISS has conducted a wide-ranging exercise to detect the long-term trends, factors and actors shaping the global environment of European integration - The New Global Puzzle. This Report illustrates the evolution of the key structural factors affecting change over the two decades to come - demography, the economy, energy, the environment, science and technology - and addresses some of the main questions concerning the future of the international system. The Report also includes seven regional outlooks exploring prospective developments of relevance to the European Union in Russia/Eurasia, the Middle East and North Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, the United States, China, India and Latin America.

Many critical junctures can be envisaged over the decades to come, from energy supply shocks to environmental catastrophes, from renewed confrontation between large state powers to a systemic breakdown of the Middle East. The development of the European Union into a fully-fledged global actor requires a shared assessment of the future challenges, threats and opportunities with which it will be confronted, and of the best options to drive, as opposed to endure, change.

This Report argues that the biggest challenge confronting the EU will be to reconcile the emerging multipolar international system with a sustainable, effective multilateral order. The Report is intended as a first step in paving the way towards further reflection on the future position and role of the EU in the world. Both experts and the policy-making community, at the European and national levels, need to engage in this debate with a view to defining common, effective responses to tomorrow's challenges.
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Trend compendium 2030

Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Saturday, January 1, 2011
Abstract in English: 
The TREND COMPENDIUM 2030 is a global trend study compiled by Roland Berger Strategy Consultants. It describes seven megatrends that will shape the world over the next 20 years. All trends have a broad impact on how we do business – Therefore, Roland Berger experts have identified corporate actions that companies must take today. The study also takes a look at how we will live in 2030.

Roland Berger experts first screened all relevant trend, scenario and future studies worldwide. Then they verified, analyzed and consolidated the results, using them to define seven megatrends. They next broke down the seven megatrends into 21 subtrends, looking at each from a global perspective and the viewpoints of industrialized and developing countries. Finally, they identified corporate actions that companies worldwide should consider taking today.

Following the executive summary and an introduction in chapters A and B, chapter C presents all trends and corporate actions in detail, while chapter D gives you an idea of life in 2030. In addition, every chapter presents the most important sources, organizations and indicators to help you keep track of the changes in the world as well as dig deeper into the trends presented.
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