Abstract in English:
"This paper is built around ‘trends, tensions and transitions’ in the Euro-Mediterranean space. In ‘trends’ we examine the way in which critical issues in the region are evolving and how they might develop over the next twenty years. ‘Tensions’ considers how these trends will interact to generate stresses at different socio-political levels. ‘Transitions’ explores some options for intervention to correct malign tensions and benefit from benign ones; the particular choice of the ‘transitions’ is based on the four themes of cooperation described above: managing conflict; win-win projects; deeper economic integration and eventually moving towards a Euro-Mediterranean Community".