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Global Governance

Global megatrends update: 11 Diversifying approaches to governance

Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Tuesday, March 3, 2015
Abstract in English: 
In the context of rapid globalisation, governments are facing a mismatch between the increasingly long-term, global, systemic challenges facing society and their more national and short-term focus and powers.

The need for more coordinated governance at the global scale has been reflected in the proliferation of international environmental agreements, particularly during the 1990s. More recently, businesses and civil society have also taken an increasing role in governance. This broadening of approaches is welcome but it raises concerns about coordination and effectiveness, as well as accountability and transparency.
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16
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Leadership for the long term: Whitehall’s capacity to address future challenges

Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Tuesday, March 3, 2015
Abstract in English: 
The Public Administration Select Committee (PASC) is carrying out an inquiry into Whitehall’s capacity to anticipate, to analyse, to assess, and to respond to the most significant challenges (risks and opportunities) facing the UK in the next decade or so. This includes scrutinising Whitehall capabilities for foresight and for reaction to the unforeseen, as well as the adequacy of current capabilities, the need for new capabilities in the future, and the conduct of strategy and leadership.
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61
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Global Trends to 2030: Can the EU meet the challenges ahead?

Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Thursday, March 26, 2015
Abstract in English: 
Built on the previous reports drawn up under the ESPAS project to date, this study seeks to map more comprehensively the five major trends that are likely to shape the future and will need to be taken into account by the Union as it defines coherent strategic options for the next governance cycle. They include:
- A richer and older human race characterised by an expanding global middle class and greater inequalities
- A more vulnerable process of globalisation led by and economic G3
- A transformative industrial and technological revolution
- A growing nexus of climate change, energy and the competition for resources
- Changing power, increased interdependence and fragile multilateralism
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82
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The World in 2025 - Contributions from an expert group

Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Thursday, January 1, 2009
Abstract in English: 
"The World in 2025" group was composed of experts with a profound understanding of global challenges and developments, as well as a solid knowledge of foresight in specific countries or regions.The objectives of this group were first to assess and measure global trends over recent decades, distinguishing the different major economies and regions, including the European Union, and the main economic, geopolitical, environmental and societal relationships and inter-connections, to serve as a basis for forward projections. Secondly, the group was asked to generate and analyse alternative (even disruptive) scenarios of world trends up to 2025, based on specified assumptions about economic, political, social, environmental and technological developments, in order to assess their consequences for the EU and to examine which policy responses could be appropriate.
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390
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Spain in the World 2033

Title Original Language: 
España en el mundo 2033
Abstract Original Language: 
En 2033, el escenario geopolítico global será radicalmente distinto al actual. Las potencias occidentales habrán perdido peso en favor de nuevos bloques regionales -de carácter económico y político-, que competirán entre sí y que tenderán a proteger sus propios mercados e impulsar, al tiempo, flujos de inversión directa.
Original Language: 
Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Tuesday, April 1, 2014
Abstract in English: 
By 2033, the global geopolitical scene will have radically changed. Both economically and politically, western powers will have lost their prominence in favour of new regional blocks. These rising poles will compete among themselves and are likely to protect their own markets; after a while they will become sources of direct investment.
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Strategic global outlook 2030

Title Original Language: 
Стратегический глобальный прогноз 2030
Abstract Original Language: 
Прогноз представляет собой междисциплинарное исследование и носит вероятностный характер. Он основан на видении глобальных перспектив большой группой экспертов, которые длительное время изучают различные мировые проблемы, отдельные регионы и страны. Статистической базой работы служат прогнозные оценки ВВП, производительности труда, расходов на НИОКР и других индикаторов, полученные с помощью оригинальной методики ИМЭМО. Методология Прогноза 2030 дает возможность сосредоточить внимание на устойчивых трендах развития мировой экономики и политического мироустройства, а также на действующих в них субъектах, структурах и институтах. Главная задача – показать, какие риски и возможности ключевые мировые политико-экономические тенденции несут для России. Прогноз выполнен в двух вариантах – кратком и расширенном. В расширенном варианте охарактеризованы тенденции мирового развития и их проявления в разных сферах жизни общества – идеологии, экономике, социальных отношениях, политике. Отдельный раздел посвящен центрам и регионам мирового развития. По итогам перспектив мирового развития сформулированы риски и возможности для России. Краткий вариант дает самое общее представление о тенденциях мирового развития.
Original Language: 
Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Saturday, January 1, 2011
Abstract in English: 
Strategic Global Outlook: 2030 is an interdisciplinary study prepared by the panel of experts with long experience of research in international, regional and country issues. The statistical database of the Outlook is based on predictive estimates of GDP, labor productivity, R&D investment and other indicators calculated using the original method developed in IMEMO RAN. “Outlook: 2030” offers an opportunity to focus attention on determined trends of world economy and international political order, on relevant entities, structures and institutions. Our major task was to explore risks and challenges that key global economic and political trends do represent to Russia.
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Brazilian Perspectives on the Changing Global Order and Security Challenges

Date of Editorial Board meeting: 
Publication date: 
Thursday, February 21, 2013
Abstract in English: 
This study analyses the current picture and prospects for EU–Brazil relations in the political and security arenas. As actors experiencing relevant changes, albeit in different directions in their respective international status quo, the EU and Brazil have found some common ground for convergence at the macro level on some structural issues, such as the normative framework of a changing global order, the striving for a multipolar world and the relevance and desirability of multilateralism. At the same time, it is argued that they differ significantly as to the strategies pursued in the attainment of those shared interests, resulting in competing, or eventually divergent, policy preferences when addressing specific issues and developments at the international level, limiting the prospects for a deep mutual commitment and engagement in political and security dynamics at the global level.
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